Idaho vs Nevada 12/3/2011

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Nevada is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Idaho. Cody Fajardo is averaging 257 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Lampford Mark is projected for 116 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Idaho wins, Brian Reader averages 1.82 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.96 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Princeton McCarty averages 48 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Idaho wins and 42 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. Nevada has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEV -19 --- Over/Under line is 55

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